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June 25, 2018

Nate Silver Day 12: Tread Carefully

By Seth Burn

We’ve reached the point of the tournament where teams want to advance, but perhaps not win the group. We’re going to see some odd incentives in the Belgium-England game, and perhaps in some of the other games as well. Strange incentives abound.

Nate’s current bankroll is $1,041,850

Bankroll % Team Wager Risked To Win Result
3.43% Saudi Arabia 0.5 35706 36777 0
4.34% Russia -0.5 45212 95850 0
2.84% Spain-Morocco Draw 29540 120229 0
2.06% Morocco -0.5 21506 214204 0
1.53% Portugal-Iran Draw 15934 43341 0

 

Article by Seth Burn