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June 26, 2018

Nate Silver Day 13: Forget about treading carefully

By Seth Burn

After a good day Nate’s bankroll is up to $1,175,479, and he’s taking it out for a spin. I locked these in last night, and while three of them have had positive line movement, he’d be betting over 20% of his bankroll on Peru as of 9:25 AM today. We’re going to see big swings every game. Croatia has already advanced. Peru has been eliminated. Nigeria (and Argentina) are playing for their tournament lives. Of course, none of this will compare to England-Belgium, but we’ll get to that in a few days.

Bankroll % Team Wager Risked To Win Result
11.13% Peru 0.5 130870 54124 0
15.02% France -0.5 176521 208295 0
14.60% Nigeria 0.5 171675 295280 0
22.71% Croatia -0.5 266903 317614 0

 

 

Article by Seth Burn