At the last World Cup Nate Silver turned 100K into $571,538. It was an amazing run and we'll see what he can do with that bankroll soon enough. https://statsbomb.com/2014/07/germany-must-make-a-tough-decision-nate-silver-day-24/ He'll be starting off with Saudi Arabia:
| Team | Wager | Risked | To Win | Result |
| Saudi Arabia | -0.5 | 7694 | 63555 | 0 |
I also calculated all of his futures, although I only gave him a 10k bankroll there (with unlimited credit). Eliminated means the team does not make it past the group stage. Teams are listed by group and then alphabetical. Best of luck to Nate on what I'm sure will be another memorable run.
| Team | Future | Risked | To Win | Result |
| Egypt | Eliminated | 725 | 439 | 0 |
| Russia | Advance | 1225 | 544 | 0 |
| Russia | Win Group | 1063 | 2285 | 0 |
| Saudi Arabia | Advance | 612 | 5200 | 0 |
| Saudi Arabia | Win Group | 130 | 4604 | 0 |
| Uruguay | Eliminated | 612 | 2600 | 0 |
| Uruguay | Not Win Group | 1993 | 2432 | 0 |
| Iran | Advance | 317 | 1900 | 0 |
| Iran | Semifinalist | 102 | 10264 | 0 |
| Iran | Win Group | 63 | 1800 | 0 |
| Morocco | Advance | 334 | 976 | 0 |
| Morocco | Finalist | 135 | 20200 | 0 |
| Morocco | Quarterfinalist | 472 | 4378 | 0 |
| Morocco | Semifinalist | 103 | 2455 | 0 |
| Morocco | Win Group | 81 | 1040 | 0 |
| Portugal | Champion | 182 | 4100 | 0 |
| Portugal | Eliminated | 933 | 2800 | 0 |
| Portugal | Finalist | 480 | 5876 | 0 |
| Portugal | Not Win Group | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| Portugal | Quarterfinalist | 414 | 534 | 0 |
| Portugal | Semifinalist | 739 | 3150 | 0 |
| Spain | Champion | 529 | 3410 | 0 |
| Spain | Eliminated | 187 | 1466 | 0 |
| Spain | Finalist | 525 | 1571 | 0 |
| Spain | Quarterfinalist | 633 | 284 | 0 |
| Spain | Semifinalist | 673 | 848 | 0 |
| Spain | Win Group | 55 | 35 | 0 |
| Denmark | Champion | 19 | 2350 | 0 |
| Denmark | Quarterfinalist | 686 | 3271 | 0 |
| Denmark | Semifinalist | 38 | 404 | 0 |
| Denmark | Win Group | 471 | 2285 | 0 |
| France | Eliminated | 444 | 4000 | 0 |
| France | Not Champ | 2320 | 270 | 0 |
| France | Not Finalist | 2000 | 500 | 0 |
| France | Not Semifinalist | 2498 | 1759 | 0 |
| France | Not Win Group | 910 | 1856 | 0 |
| Peru | Advance | 114 | 168 | 0 |
| Peru | Quarterfinalist | 379 | 3188 | 0 |
| Peru | Semifinalist | 71 | 1560 | 0 |
| Peru | Win Group | 358 | 2950 | 0 |
| Argentina | Eliminated | 679 | 3225 | 0 |
| Argentina | Not Champ | 130 | 10 | 0 |
| Argentina | Not Semifinalist | 442 | 174 | 0 |
| Argentina | Not Win Group | 1771 | 2480 | 0 |
| Croatia | Champion | 3 | 92 | 0 |
| Croatia | Eliminated | 44 | 80 | 0 |
| Croatia | Finalist | 50 | 717 | 0 |
| Croatia | Quarterfinalist | 184 | 360 | 0 |
| Croatia | Win Group | 402 | 976 | 0 |
| Iceland | Advance | 755 | 2499 | 0 |
| Iceland | Finalist | 1 | 100 | 0 |
| Iceland | Quarterfinalist | 273 | 3380 | 0 |
| Iceland | Win Group | 300 | 3850 | 0 |
| Nigeria | Advance | 200 | 500 | 0 |
| Nigeria | Quarterfinalist | 329 | 3794 | 0 |
| Nigeria | Win Group | 219 | 2520 | 0 |
| Brazil | Eliminated | 327 | 3772 | 0 |
| Brazil | Not Semifinalist | 432 | 400 | 0 |
| Brazil | Not Win Group | 822 | 2352 | 0 |
| Costa Rica | Not Win Group | 598 | 20 | 0 |
| Serbia | Eliminated | 160 | 114 | 0 |
| Serbia | Finalist | 4 | 200 | 0 |
| Serbia | Win Group | 225 | 2036 | 0 |
| Switzerland | Advance | 600 | 600 | 0 |
| Switzerland | Champion | 126 | 16700 | 0 |
| Switzerland | Finalist | 134 | 3465 | 0 |
| Switzerland | Quarterfinalist | 744 | 3685 | 0 |
| Switzerland | Semifinalist | 257 | 2716 | 0 |
| Switzerland | Win Group | 629 | 4875 | 0 |
| Germany | Not Champ | 640 | 103 | 0 |
| Germany | Not Finalist | 880 | 314 | 0 |
| Germany | Not Semifinalist | 1160 | 959 | 0 |
| Germany | Not Win Group | 691 | 1872 | 0 |
| Korea Republic | Semifinalist | 1 | 131 | 0 |
| Mexico | Eliminated | 570 | 543 | 0 |
| Mexico | Win Group | 105 | 696 | 0 |
| Sweden | Advance | 1296 | 1750 | 0 |
| Sweden | Finalist | 58 | 2300 | 0 |
| Sweden | Quarterfinalist | 469 | 3158 | 0 |
| Sweden | Win Group | 351 | 2600 | 0 |
| Belgium | Eliminated | 126 | 933 | 0 |
| Belgium | Not Win Group | 690 | 800 | 0 |
| Belgium | Semifinalist | 415 | 163 | 0 |
| England | Champion | 156 | 2656 | 0 |
| England | Finalist | 265 | 2012 | 0 |
| England | Quarterfinalist | 298 | 227 | 0 |
| England | Semifinalist | 322 | 989 | 0 |
| England | Win Group | 158 | 208 | 0 |
| Panama | Advance | 279 | 2660 | 0 |
| Japan | Advance | 2020 | 5050 | 0 |
| Japan | Finalist | 1 | 100 | 0 |
| Japan | Quarterfinalist | 746 | 9809 | 0 |
| Japan | Semifinalist | 157 | 6208 | 0 |
| Japan | Win Group | 820 | 6150 | 0 |
| Poland | Eliminated | 571 | 800 | 0 |
| Poland | Not Win Group | 1264 | 596 | 0 |
| Senegal | Eliminated | 2410 | 1854 | 0 |
| Senegal | Not Win Group | 900 | 150 | 0 |